Pharma Patent Cliffby readouts.io
Loss of exclusivity · US · 2028

Drugs going off patent in 2028

Which drugs go off patent in 2028?

Seven blockbuster drugs with $73.1B in 2025 worldwide sales lose US exclusivity in 2028, led by Keytruda (Merck, $31.7B). Four are small-molecule drugs that go generic, two are biologics that face biosimilars and one is a vaccine.

Drugs losing US exclusivity
72 years from now
2025 worldwide sales
$73.1BThe biggest year from 2025 to 2037
Largest drug
KeytrudaMerck · $31.7B
Most exposed company
Merck57% of 2025 revenue

The 7 drugs

DrugCompanyArea2025 salesDate basisUS copiesMedicare price
Keytruda Merck Oncology $31.7B Company guidance In clinical trials –
Eliquis Bristol Myers Squibb / Pfizer Cardiometabolic $14.4B Settlement / court date Approved, waiting to launch 2026 · −56%
Opdivo Bristol Myers Squibb Oncology $10.1B Company guidance Filed with the FDA –
Vyndaqel Pfizer Cardiometabolic $6.4B Patent-expiry estimate Filed with the FDA –
Gardasil Merck Vaccines $5.2B Patent-expiry estimate No US filing found –
Jakafi Incyte Oncology $3.1B Company guidance Filed with the FDA –
Otezla Amgen Immunology $2.3B Settlement / court date Approved, waiting to launch 2027 · −65%

Five of these dates are fixed by a launch, settlement, court ruling or company guidance; two are estimates from patent expiry and could move. Each drug's page has the sources.

Companies most exposed in 2028

CompanyDrugs2025 revenue from themShare of company
MerckKeytruda and Gardasil$36.9B57%
Bristol Myers SquibbEliquis and Opdivo$24.5B51%
PfizerEliquis and Vyndaqel$14.3B23%
IncyteJakafi$3.1B60%
AmgenOtezla$2.3B6.2%

For shared drugs, each company is credited with the revenue it reports, so nothing is counted twice. Share is of the company's total 2025 revenue.

What to expect

Generic launches usually take most of a drug's US volume within months. Biosimilars usually erode a biologic's sales more gradually, because they are harder to make and switching takes longer. Vaccines are hard to copy, so competition after exclusivity ends usually arrives slowly. Eliquis and Otezla were also selected for Medicare price negotiation, which can cut Medicare revenue before or alongside US copies.

US exclusivity can end earlier or later than these dates if a court ruling, settlement or new patent changes the picture. See what happened to sales after past patent cliffs →

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Pharma Patent Cliff by readouts.io. "Drugs going off patent in 2028." Updated 28 September 2026. https://pharmapatentcliff.com/off-patent/2028

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