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Live patent cliffs · US sales by quarter

Launch tracker

How US sales are holding up for 9 blockbusters since their first US generic or biosimilar launched, quarter by quarter from the companies' own filings. Each drug is measured against its last full quarter before copies arrived.

US sales in Q2 2026 vs the quarter before copies

DrugCopies sinceMakersBefore copiesLatest quarterShare kept
EntrestoNovartis GenericsJul 2025 16 $1,223MQ2 2025 −$2MQ2 2026 0%
StelaraJohnson & Johnson BiosimilarsJan 2025 8 $1,699MQ4 2024 $336MQ2 2026 20%
PomalystBristol Myers Squibb GenericsMar 2026 11 $624MQ4 2025 $131MQ2 2026 21%
FarxigaAstraZeneca GenericsApr 2026 15 $449MQ1 2026 $219MQ2 2026 49%
XgevaAmgen BiosimilarsMid-2025 10 $360MQ1 2025 $187MQ2 2026 52%
JanuviaMerck GenericsMay 2026 3 $252MQ1 2026 $149MQ2 2026 59%
ProliaAmgen BiosimilarsMid-2025 10 $720MQ1 2025 $478MQ2 2026 66%
OpsumitJohnson & Johnson GenericsMay 2026 4 $433MQ1 2026 $416MQ2 2026 96%
XareltoJohnson & Johnson GenericsMar 2025 6 $676MQ4 2024 $664MQ2 2026 98%

US net sales as each company reports them. Makers counts FDA-approved copies we track, launched or not. Share kept can move for reasons besides copies, such as Medicare's negotiated prices from January 2026 and stocking swings.

What the numbers show so far

Entresto fell furthest: −$2M of US sales in Q2 2026, against $1,223M in the quarter before generics. Small-molecule drugs with many generics at once (Entresto, Pomalyst, Farxiga) lost half or more within one or two quarters. Biologics have eroded more gradually: Prolia and Xgeva kept around half to two thirds of their US sales a year in, while Stelara is down to about a fifth after six quarters.

A launch on paper isn't always a launch in practice. Xarelto has had a US generic since March 2025, but only in one strength, and J&J's US sales are about where they were.

Before copiesCopies on the US market

Entresto

Novartis · Generics since Jul 2025 · 3 quarters after launch
0%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 (−$2M vs $1,223M in Q2 2025)
Entresto Q1 2025: $1,169M USQ1 '25Entresto Q2 2025: $1,223M US (last full quarter before copies)$1,223Q2 '25Entresto Q3 2025: $798M USQ3 '25Entresto Q4 2025: $95M USQ4 '25Entresto Q1 2026: $72M USQ1 '26Entresto Q2 2026: −$2M US−$2Q2 '26

The fastest collapse here: generics from MSN and Torrent launched in July 2025, and in Q2 2026 Novartis reported US net sales of minus $2M, meaning deductions such as returns and rebates exceeded new sales.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q2 2025
Q1 2025$1,169M96%
Q2 2025$1,223M100%
Q3 2025 · copies launch$798M65%
Q4 2025$95M8%
Q1 2026$72M6%
Q2 2026−$2M0%

Stelara

Johnson & Johnson · Biosimilars since Jan 2025 · 5 quarters after launch
20%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($336M vs $1,699M in Q4 2024)
Stelara Q4 2024: $1,699M US (last full quarter before copies)$1,699Q4 '24Stelara Q1 2025: $981M USQ1 '25Stelara Q2 2025: $1,078M USQ2 '25Stelara Q3 2025: $1,022M USQ3 '25Stelara Q4 2025: $766M USQ4 '25Stelara Q1 2026: $220M USQ1 '26Stelara Q2 2026: $336M US$336Q2 '26

Amgen's Wezlana launched first; most of the other approved biosimilars followed during 2025.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q4 2024
Q4 2024$1,699M100%
Q1 2025 · copies launch$981M58%
Q2 2025$1,078M63%
Q3 2025$1,022M60%
Q4 2025$766M45%
Q1 2026$220M13%
Q2 2026$336M20%

Pomalyst

Bristol Myers Squibb · Generics since Mar 2026 · 1 quarter after launch
21%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($131M vs $624M in Q4 2025)
Pomalyst Q4 2024: $685M USQ4 '24Pomalyst Q1 2025: $537M USQ1 '25Pomalyst Q2 2025: $584M USQ2 '25Pomalyst Q3 2025: $596M USQ3 '25Pomalyst Q4 2025: $624M US (last full quarter before copies)$624Q4 '25Pomalyst Q1 2026: $439M USQ1 '26Pomalyst Q2 2026: $131M US$131Q2 '26

Settlements let generic makers launch from March 2026; Q2 2026 was the first full quarter, with US sales down 78% on a year earlier.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q4 2025
Q4 2024$685M110%
Q1 2025$537M86%
Q2 2025$584M94%
Q3 2025$596M96%
Q4 2025$624M100%
Q1 2026 · copies launch$439M70%
Q2 2026$131M21%

Farxiga

AstraZeneca · Generics since Apr 2026 · launch quarter
49%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($219M vs $449M in Q1 2026)
Farxiga Q3 2025: $441M USQ3 '25Farxiga Q4 2025: $486M USQ4 '25Farxiga Q1 2026: $449M US (last full quarter before copies)$449Q1 '26Farxiga Q2 2026: $219M US$219Q2 '26

The FDA approved 15 generics at once in April 2026; US sales halved in the first quarter.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q1 2026
Q3 2025$441M98%
Q4 2025$486M108%
Q1 2026$449M100%
Q2 2026 · copies launch$219M49%

Xgeva

Amgen · Biosimilars since Mid-2025 · 4 quarters after launch
52%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($187M vs $360M in Q1 2025)
Xgeva Q4 2024: $369M USQ4 '24Xgeva Q1 2025: $360M US (last full quarter before copies)$360Q1 '25Xgeva Q2 2025: $347M USQ2 '25Xgeva Q3 2025: $357M USQ3 '25Xgeva Q4 2025: $291M USQ4 '25Xgeva Q1 2026: $228M USQ1 '26Xgeva Q2 2026: $187M US$187Q2 '26

The same denosumab biosimilar makers sell Xgeva versions alongside their Prolia ones.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q1 2025
Q4 2024$369M102%
Q1 2025$360M100%
Q2 2025 · copies launch$347M96%
Q3 2025$357M99%
Q4 2025$291M81%
Q1 2026$228M63%
Q2 2026$187M52%

Januvia

Merck · Generics since May 2026 · launch quarter
59%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($149M vs $252M in Q1 2026)
Januvia Q1 2025: $344M USQ1 '25Januvia Q2 2025: $216M USQ2 '25Januvia Q3 2025: $258M USQ3 '25Januvia Q4 2025: $180M USQ4 '25Januvia Q1 2026: $252M US (last full quarter before copies)$252Q1 '26Januvia Q2 2026: $149M US$149Q2 '26

Januvia alone, excluding Janumet. US sales were already uneven quarter to quarter, and Medicare's negotiated price took effect in January 2026; generics launched in late May.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q1 2026
Q1 2025$344M137%
Q2 2025$216M86%
Q3 2025$258M102%
Q4 2025$180M71%
Q1 2026$252M100%
Q2 2026 · copies launch$149M59%

Prolia

Amgen · Biosimilars since Mid-2025 · 4 quarters after launch
66%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($478M vs $720M in Q1 2025)
Prolia Q4 2024: $775M USQ4 '24Prolia Q1 2025: $720M US (last full quarter before copies)$720Q1 '25Prolia Q2 2025: $745M USQ2 '25Prolia Q3 2025: $806M USQ3 '25Prolia Q4 2025: $707M USQ4 '25Prolia Q1 2026: $461M USQ1 '26Prolia Q2 2026: $478M US$478Q2 '26

Denosumab biosimilars launched from mid-2025 under settlements with Amgen; erosion sped up once several were on sale.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q1 2025
Q4 2024$775M108%
Q1 2025$720M100%
Q2 2025 · copies launch$745M103%
Q3 2025$806M112%
Q4 2025$707M98%
Q1 2026$461M64%
Q2 2026$478M66%

Opsumit

Johnson & Johnson · Generics since May 2026 · launch quarter
96%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($416M vs $433M in Q1 2026)
Opsumit Q4 2024: $408M USQ4 '24Opsumit Q1 2025: $363M USQ1 '25Opsumit Q2 2025: $403M USQ2 '25Opsumit Q3 2025: $409M USQ3 '25Opsumit Q4 2025: $458M USQ4 '25Opsumit Q1 2026: $433M US (last full quarter before copies)$433Q1 '26Opsumit Q2 2026: $416M US$416Q2 '26

Includes Opsynvi. Generics arrived late in Q2 2026, so Q3 2026 (reported in October) is the first quarter to show their effect.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q1 2026
Q4 2024$408M94%
Q1 2025$363M84%
Q2 2025$403M93%
Q3 2025$409M94%
Q4 2025$458M106%
Q1 2026$433M100%
Q2 2026 · copies launch$416M96%

Xarelto

Johnson & Johnson · Generics since Mar 2025 · 5 quarters after launch
98%of pre-launch US sales in Q2 2026 ($664M vs $676M in Q4 2024)
Xarelto Q4 2024: $676M US (last full quarter before copies)$676Q4 '24Xarelto Q1 2025: $690M USQ1 '25Xarelto Q2 2025: $621M USQ2 '25Xarelto Q3 2025: $635M USQ3 '25Xarelto Q4 2025: $687M USQ4 '25Xarelto Q1 2026: $642M USQ1 '26Xarelto Q2 2026: $664M US$664Q2 '26

US sales have held up. Lupin's generic covers only the 2.5 mg strength, and J&J is still suing makers approved for the other strengths. Medicare's negotiated price took effect in January 2026.

Quarterly US sales
QuarterUS salesvs Q4 2024
Q4 2024$676M100%
Q1 2025 · copies launch$690M102%
Q2 2025$621M92%
Q3 2025$635M94%
Q4 2025$687M102%
Q1 2026$642M95%
Q2 2026$664M98%

Next up

Q3 2026 results arrive from late October; this page is updated as each company reports. See how past cliffs played out →